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James Talarico leads Jasmine Crockett in blockbuster Democratic primary for U.S. Senate

James Talarico leads Jasmine Crockett in blockbuster Democratic primary for U.S. Senate
1 hour 17 minutes 56 seconds ago Tuesday, March 03 2026 Mar 3, 2026 March 03, 2026 10:23 PM March 03, 2026 in News - Texas news
Source: https://www.texastribune.org/
From left: U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Dallas, and state Rep. James Talarico, D-Austin, are running for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate. The Texas Tribune

State Rep. James Talarico held a narrow lead over U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, according to early returns and a portion of election day results.

Tuesday’s primary is being widely watched as an indicator of the potential future of the Texas Democratic Party, with Crockett and Talarico — both political heavyweights boasting national profiles and enormous social media presences — putting forth vastly different visions of the kind of politics needed to win statewide, even as they largely aligned on policy.

Crockett, drawing from her reputation as a fiery communicator, argued that the path to a blue Texas rests on driving scores of disengaged Democrats to the polls with a promise to wage partisan warfare against the GOP. Talarico, meanwhile, thinks it is necessary to both juice Democratic turnout and build a big tent, putting forth a populist, faith-based message of a “politics of love” that he argued could counter the division stoked by billionaire political donors and form a winning coalition.

The results began coming in Tuesday evening after a day of turmoil at the polls in Dallas County, Crockett’s home base and the state’s second most populous county. Confusion arose over a rule change about where voters could cast ballots — pushed by the Dallas County GOP — which led to numerous voters being turned away at the polls. 

Earlier Tuesday evening, a district judge granted the Dallas County Democratic Party’s request to extend polling hours in the county to 9 p.m. Soon after, at the request of Attorney General Ken Paxton, the Texas Supreme Court temporarily ordered that votes cast by people who were not in line to vote by 7 p.m. — when polls were originally set to close — should be separated out, casting uncertainty over whether those ballots would be included in the county’s final tally. 

Shortly after 9 p.m., Crockett told supporters at her election night watch party at Club VIVO in downtown Dallas that she did not expect full election results until the following day. Supporters booed the news of the Texas Supreme Court ruling, and Crockett expressed skepticism that election officials would be able to separate the ballots. Early returns showed Crockett leading Dallas County, but she didn’t address results showing Talarico, D-Austin, leading statewide.

“We were able to keep the polls open, but I can tell you now that people have been disenfranchised,” Crockett said, arguing that Republicans “specifically targeted Dallas County and I think we all know why.”

Democratic voters flocked to the polls during the 11-day early voting period, in no small part to make their voice heard in the fiercely competitive Senate race at the top of the ticket. 

More than 1.5 million people voted early in the Democratic primary, according to VoteHub, exceeding turnout in the Republican primary and more than doubling early turnout in the 2022 midterm. Over the past three Democratic primaries in Texas, an average of 45% of all ballots were cast on election day, according to GOP consultant Derek Ryan.

A Democrat has not won a U.S. Senate seat in Texas since 1988. And while Texas is not on national Democrats’ list of targets to retake the Senate, party leaders in the state see a prime opportunity this year to finally flip Texas, hoping that backlash to the Trump administration, a brutal Senate primary on the Republican side and the possibility of facing hard-right, scandal-plagued Attorney General Ken Paxton will all set the stage for an upset.

The competition tested Democrats’ appetite for identity politics, with questions around race and gender inflaming the race as election day neared. 

Crockett cast concerns about her electability in a red state as racist dog whistles, and she called a pro-Talarico super PAC’s ad citing the apparent GOP preference for her nomination “straight up racist” and accused the ad of darkening her skin. The ad applied a dark filter throughout, including over other people pictured. Campaigns cannot legally coordinate with super PACs, and Talarico has repeatedly emphasized his respect for Crockett.

The racial tensions tearing the primary apart were amplified by political content creators from around the country, who waged a vicious online proxy war on behalf of their preferred candidates.

Republicans, too, fanned the division and made no secret of their belief that Crockett would be easier to beat in November. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn called Crockett’s decision to run a “gift,” and Talarico’s potential nomination “dangerous.” A Crockett spokesperson said Republicans “who underestimate her do so at their own peril.”

Outside spending on behalf of both Crockett and Talarico by super PACs whose donors remain largely anonymous also helped frame the race. 

By the end of early voting, Talarico had outspent Crockett nearly five-to-one on advertising, including outside spending, according to media tracking firm AdImpact. Talarico, who began the race with much lower name recognition, spent $15.3 million on ads through his campaign alone, compared to Crockett’s $4.3 million; a pro-Talarico super PAC dropped another $7.7 million, while a super PAC boosting Crockett had spent less than $500,000.

This article first appeared on The Texas Tribune.

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